Chatham House surveyed 741 respondents between 15 and 31 August 2022. Our sample corresponds to
the structure of the urban population of Belarus and is adjusted by gender, age, size of settlement and level
The poll was conducted using the Computer Assisted Web Interview (CAWI) method, which in practice
means that it was limited to internet users. Although only 85% of the population of Belarus uses the web,
internet users do remain more economically and socially active. Therefore, despite the fact that our sample
has been weighted to accurately reflect the make-up of Belarusian society, it is possible that support for
Lukashenka and his policies may be slightly higher than this poll indicates, since Lukashenka's supporters
tend to be less socially and economically active than his detractors. We also acknowledge the ‘fear factor’,
which may affect the results of the survey.
We selected the CAWI method because the repressive nature of Belarusian legislation, as well as
additional risks faced by researchers collaborating with us for this study, make face-to-face interviews
The statistical margin of error of our sample of 741 people (with a 95 percent confidence level) does not
exceed 3.6 per cent.
Due to rounding, percentages may not always appear to add up to 100 per cent.
All answers of all respondent answers are available as XLSX
.Download a presentation of the survey’s main findings