sixteenth survey wave
Socio-political values of Belarusian young people (poll conducted May 24 - June 2, 2023).
28.07.2023
Photo: Pavel Kritchko
Chatham House surveyed 683 respondents between 24 May and 2 June 2023. The target group of this survey was Belarusian people aged 18-35 and living in cities. Our sample corresponds to the structure of the young urban population of Belarus (1.8 mln people) and is adjusted by gender, age, size of settlement and level of education.
The poll was conducted using the Computer Assisted Web Interview (CAWI) method, which in practice means that it was limited to internet users. Around 90 per cent of the population of Belarus uses the web, and internet users remain more economically and socially active.
Therefore, despite the fact that our sample has been weighted to accurately reflect the make-up of Belarusian society, it is possible that support for Lukashenka and his policies may be slightly higher than this poll indicates, since Lukashenka's supporters tend to be less socially and economically active. We also acknowledge that the ‘fear factor’ may affect the results of the survey.
We selected the CAWI method because the repressive nature of Belarusian legislation, as well as additional risks faced by researchers collaborating with us for this study, make face-to-face interviews impossible.
The statistical margin of error of our sample of 683 people (with a 95 percent confidence level) does not exceed 3.8 per cent. Because of rounding, the sum of the response percentages in the graphs may not equal 100 per cent.
All answers of all respondent answers are available as XLSX and SAV.
Download a presentation of the survey’s main findings
The poll was conducted using the Computer Assisted Web Interview (CAWI) method, which in practice means that it was limited to internet users. Around 90 per cent of the population of Belarus uses the web, and internet users remain more economically and socially active.
Therefore, despite the fact that our sample has been weighted to accurately reflect the make-up of Belarusian society, it is possible that support for Lukashenka and his policies may be slightly higher than this poll indicates, since Lukashenka's supporters tend to be less socially and economically active. We also acknowledge that the ‘fear factor’ may affect the results of the survey.
We selected the CAWI method because the repressive nature of Belarusian legislation, as well as additional risks faced by researchers collaborating with us for this study, make face-to-face interviews impossible.
The statistical margin of error of our sample of 683 people (with a 95 percent confidence level) does not exceed 3.8 per cent. Because of rounding, the sum of the response percentages in the graphs may not equal 100 per cent.
All answers of all respondent answers are available as XLSX and SAV.
Download a presentation of the survey’s main findings
Methodology
