Chatham House surveyed a total of 767 respondents between 1 and 10 November 2021. Our survey sample corresponds to the general structure of Belarus’s urban population and is adjusted by gender, age, education level and the size of respondents’ place of residence.
The poll was conducted using the Computer Assisted Web Interview (CAWI) method, which in practice means that it was limited to internet users, estimated by various sources to comprise between 75 and 82 per cent of the Belarusian population. Internet users are generally more economically and socially active.
Therefore, despite the fact that our sample has been weighted to accurately reflect the make-up of Belarusian society, it is possible that support for Aliaksandr Lukashenka and his policies may be slightly higher than this poll indicates, since Lukashenka's supporters tend to be less socially and economically active than his detractors.
We selected the CAWI method because the repressive nature of Belarusian legislation, as well as additional risks faced by researchers collaborating with us for this study, make face-to-face interviews impossible.
The statistical margin of error of our sample of 767 people (with a 95 per cent confidence level) does not exceed 3.5 per cent.
All answers of all respondents are available as a SAV file.
Download a presentation of the survey’s main findingsBelarusians’ views on the political crisis (PDF)Взгляды белорусов на политический кризис (PDF)